- Pre-Market Indications

Monday, April 28, 2008

Pre Market - Trader Talk with Bob Pisani -

European bourses are advancing again today; the FTSE, like the Dow, finally broke through to its highest levels since January; same with France's CAC 40. The Euro is down slightly, even though German consumer confidence rose to the highest since Oct '07.


1) Continental

Continental Airlines Inc

17.22 UNCH 0%

[CAL 17.22 --- UNCH (0%) ] surprised a lot of people by abandoning merger talks with United.

Potential winners:

a) AMR

AMR Corp

7.43 UNCH 0%

[AMR 7.43 --- UNCH (0%) ] , since a Continental/United would have been bad for AMR.

b) US Air

US Airways Group Inc

7.16 UNCH 0%

[LCC 7.16 --- UNCH (0%) ] , since it makes a deal with United more likely.

Potential losers:

a) United

UAL Corp

15.21 UNCH 0%

[UAUA 15.21 --- UNCH (0%) ]. Continental was their best merger partner. Credit Suisse was even more blunt: they believe UAL's standalone plan "is not viable." Now they’re down to talking to US Air.

Not clear if this is good or bad for the Delta/Northwest merger; it might be good, since one less merger happening makes government approval more likely.

From what I've heard, demand for summer travel seems to be quite strong, though there are worries about the fall.

2) Wrigley

Wm Wrigley Jr Co

62.45 UNCH 0%

[WWY 62.45 --- UNCH (0%) ] agreed to a merger with Mars for about $23 billion, $80 a share in cash (closed at $62.45 Friday). Hershey's [HSY 34.74 --- UNCH (0%) ] also up 6 percent pre-open.

3) Tracinda announcing a tender offer for 20 million shares of Ford

Ford Motor Co

7.5 UNCH 0%

[F 7.5 --- UNCH (0%) ] (less than 1 percent of shares outstanding) at $8.50 a share. That's a roughly 13 percent premium. Kerkorian already owns a 4.7 percent position in the company. Ford's stock rose 0.7 percent last week on better than expected earnings. Ford up 8 percent pre-open.

4) Now that's inflation: Tyson

Tyson Foods Inc

18.15 UNCH 0%

[TSN 18.15 --- UNCH (0%) ] reported a loss of 2 cents (gain of 1 cent expected); chicken segment had losses due to higher grain costs. How much higher? For the year, they expect to pay an additional $600 million for corn and soybean meal. Throw in cooking oil increases and a few other costs, and increases will approach $1 b.

Rebate checks are finally going out, but with gasoline near $3.50 a gallon, it's not clear how much impact it's going to have.

Monday Mergers: Continental (No) Wrigley (Yes) - Trader Talk with Bob Pisani -

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